SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
47.67% ( -0.04) | 22.12% ( 0.01) | 30.22% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.2% ( -0.04) | 33.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.36% ( -0.05) | 55.64% ( 0.05) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.28% ( -0.03) | 14.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.06) | 42.93% ( 0.06) |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0) | 22.47% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.98% ( -0) | 56.02% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.22% |
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