SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
63.45% ( 0.35) | 20.49% ( -0.11) | 16.06% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.89% ( 0.03) | 43.11% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.49% ( 0.03) | 65.51% ( -0.04) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( 0.11) | 12.93% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.62% ( 0.23) | 39.38% ( -0.23) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( -0.29) | 39.88% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.46% ( -0.27) | 76.54% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.59% 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 63.44% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.49% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.06% |
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