This match promises to be a closely-fought affair, with both sides desperate for the three points. Gil Vicente's home advantage might be a factor that tilts this match in their favour but Boavista have also got a new man in charge, which could count for them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
-0.07) 
0.09) 
