This match is shaping up to be a tighter affair than initially expected, with Gillingham's form nosediving while Sutton seemed to have found their fighting spirit again.
However, this is the perfect opportunity for the home side to find their scoring boots again, as they have been creating enough chances to put teams to bed.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
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