SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Girona had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Liverpool |
24.18% ( 0.45) | 22.25% ( 0.11) | 53.57% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.06% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.59% ( -0.01) | 39.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.25% ( -0.02) | 61.75% ( 0.02) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( 0.36) | 29.53% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.44% ( 0.44) | 65.55% ( -0.44) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( -0.19) | 14.76% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57% ( -0.36) | 43% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.57% |
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