SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
47.34% ( -0.59) | 26.22% ( 0.06) | 26.45% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 49.47% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% ( 0.13) | 54.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% ( 0.11) | 75.79% ( -0.1) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.22) | 22.99% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( -0.32) | 56.78% ( 0.32) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( 0.52) | 35.76% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.46% ( 0.53) | 72.54% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.45% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
