Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
0.51) 
-0.62) 
