Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.
-0.1) 
0.14) 
