SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Goias had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Goias |
60.58% ( -0.11) | 21.88% ( 0.06) | 17.53% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.22) | 46.62% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.2) | 68.89% ( 0.2) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( -0.11) | 14.93% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.67% ( -0.2) | 43.33% ( 0.2) |
| Goias Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.83% ( -0.08) | 40.17% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.19% ( -0.07) | 76.81% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gremio | Draw | Goias |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 17.53% |
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