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League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
NC

Grimsby Town
1 - 0
Newport

Rose (33')
Green (36'), Thompson (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Charsley (36'), Jephcott (54')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-4 Crawley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
42.09% (3.655 3.66) 24.54% (0.642 0.64) 33.36% (-4.301 -4.3)
Both teams to score 58.76% (-3.126 -3.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91% (-3.755 -3.76)44.08% (3.752 3.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-3.761 -3.76)66.46% (3.759 3.76)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97% (0.114 0.11)21.02% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.18% (0.17599999999999 0.18)53.81% (-0.179 -0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-4.074 -4.07)25.59% (4.071 4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-5.895 -5.9)60.47% (5.893 5.89)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 42.09%
    Newport County 33.36%
    Draw 24.53%
Grimsby TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.479 0.48)
1-0 @ 8.39% (1.322 1.32)
2-0 @ 6.54% (1.049 1.05)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.556 0.56)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.221 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.57 0.57)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.405 -0.41)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.831 0.83)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.549 -0.55)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.345 0.35)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.371 -0.37)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.731 -0.73)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.558 -0.56)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.479 -0.48)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.435 -0.44)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.334 -0.33)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Bradford
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Grimsby Town
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-4 Crawley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Newport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Newport
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 5-3 Morecambe
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two


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