Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
-0.34) 
0.13) 
