SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Colwyn Bay win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
59.07% ( -0.4) | 21.33% ( 0.1) | 19.6% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.08% ( 0) | 40.92% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.69% ( 0.01) | 63.31% |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( -0.11) | 13.53% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.4% ( -0.24) | 40.6% ( 0.24) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 0.31) | 34.54% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.74% ( 0.33) | 71.26% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 59.07% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.6% |
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