Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 44%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Helmond Sport	Draw	ADO Den Haag
30.95% ( 0)	25.05%	44% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.72% (

-0.01)

47.28% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.5% (

-0.01)

69.5% (

0.01)

Helmond Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

-0)

28.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5%

64.5%

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

-0.01)

21.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.45% (

-0.01)

54.55% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Helmond Sport 30.95%

ADO Den Haag 44%

Draw 25.05%

Helmond Sport	Draw	ADO Den Haag
1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.95%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.49% Total : 44%