Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.67%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
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