Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
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