SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.95%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
54.95% ( 1.15) | 21.82% ( -0.31) | 23.22% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 60.4% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.57% ( 0.5) | 38.43% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.28% ( 0.53) | 60.71% ( -0.54) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.54) | 13.97% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.52% ( 1.06) | 41.47% ( -1.06) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.21% ( -0.42) | 29.78% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( -0.51) | 65.85% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.95% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.22% |
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