SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
45.32% ( -0.49) | 25.16% ( 0.03) | 29.52% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% ( 0.12) | 48.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% ( 0.11) | 70.54% ( -0.11) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( -0.17) | 21.37% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.65% ( -0.26) | 54.35% ( 0.26) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.39) | 30.23% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( 0.47) | 66.4% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 29.52% |
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