SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
44.57% ( 0.02) | 26.61% ( -0.01) | 28.81% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.36% ( 0.02) | 54.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( 0.02) | 75.97% ( -0.02) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( 0.02) | 24.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( 0.03) | 58.81% ( -0.03) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0) | 33.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0) | 70.67% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.81% |
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