SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Chicago Fire |
52.44% ( -2.96) | 21.96% ( 1.34) | 25.6% ( 1.63) |
| Both teams to score 62.74% ( -3.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( -4.85) | 36.6% ( 4.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.25% ( -5.49) | 58.75% ( 5.49) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.86% ( -2.51) | 14.15% ( 2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.19% ( -5.16) | 41.81% ( 5.17) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( -1.44) | 26.93% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.74% ( -1.93) | 62.26% ( 1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 1.07)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.5)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.51)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.57)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.33)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.48)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.37)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.61% Total : 52.44% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 1.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.85)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.45) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.95)0-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.6% |
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