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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
45.59% ( -0) | 22.21% ( 0.02) | 32.21% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 66.93% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.08) | 33.21% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.05% ( -0.09) | 54.96% ( 0.1) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0.03) | 15.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.13% ( -0.06) | 43.88% ( 0.07) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( -0.04) | 21.06% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( -0.07) | 53.87% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 45.59% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.21% | 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.73% Total : 32.21% |
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