SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for USA in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for USA.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | USA |
30.39% ( -0.03) | 28.97% ( -0) | 40.64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.06% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.61% ( 0) | 62.39% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.98% ( 0) | 82.02% ( -0) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( -0.02) | 36.94% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.27% ( -0.02) | 73.73% ( 0.02) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0.02) | 30.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( 0.02) | 66.27% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 30.39% | 1-1 @ 13.29% 0-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.95% | 0-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 40.64% |
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