Juventus can keep the top-four race interesting until Serie A's final day, as they may be flaky on the road but are an entirely different proposition on Turin turf. Neither side are at the peak of their powers, so a classic is not on the cards - and Milan may be sent home pointless following a close-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
44.29% ( 0.83)	28.16% ( 0.15)	27.54% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.23% (

-0.95)

60.76% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.18% (

-0.72)

80.82% (

0.72)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.01)

27.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22% (

-0.01)

62.78% (

0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

-1.33)

38.32% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.92% (

-1.3)

75.08% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Juventus 44.29%

AC Milan 27.54%

Draw 28.16%

Juventus	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.29%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.6% Total : 27.54%