While Buruk could be tempted into resting a few players with a Champions League qualifier second leg on the horizon, the defending champions still have more than enough class in their tranks to secure a win in this one. It may not end in a 6-0 scoreline like the previous encounter, but we expect a solid performance nonetheless.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 2-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.15) 
