SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Lahti |
53.04% ( -0) | 24.71% ( 0.01) | 22.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.69% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.97% ( -0.03) | 52.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.24% ( -0.02) | 73.76% ( 0.02) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.01) | 19.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.49% ( -0.02) | 51.5% ( 0.02) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.78% ( -0.02) | 38.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.02% ( -0.02) | 74.97% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.89% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.25% |
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