SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (11.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Cerro |
34.87% ( 0) | 28.95% | 36.18% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.34% ( 0.01) | 61.66% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.52% ( 0) | 81.48% ( -0.01) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 0) | 33.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.04% ( 0.01) | 69.96% ( -0.01) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( 0) | 32.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% | 69% |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 13.37% 0-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.93% | 0-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.18% |
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