SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lahti in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
40.3% ( -1.71) | 23.89% ( -0.34) | 35.81% ( 2.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.73% ( 1.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( 2.07) | 40.45% ( -2.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.16% ( 2.1) | 62.83% ( -2.1) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( 0.1) | 20.31% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( 0.15) | 52.69% ( -0.15) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( 2.1) | 22.52% ( -2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( 3.03) | 56.1% ( -3.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.69)2-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.53)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.98% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.81% |
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