Lanus are a better team than their current record in the second phase may indicate, and we expect an even match, as the last 12 encounters between these two sides at Ciudad de Linus resulted in either a draw or a one-goal victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.1) 
