SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
26.25% ( 0.48) | 24.3% ( 0.17) | 49.46% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( -0.35) | 46.77% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( -0.33) | 69.03% ( 0.33) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( 0.2) | 31.83% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( 0.23) | 68.27% ( -0.23) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( -0.39) | 18.96% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( -0.66) | 50.49% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 49.45% |
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