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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
PL

Lecce
2 - 2
Parma

Dorgu (32'), Krstovic (59')
Ramadani (31'), Dorgu (51'), Gaspar (54'), Rafia (84')
Guilbert (47')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Almqvist (90+3'), Hainaut (90+5')
Cancellieri (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Parma

Parma have conceded goals in each of their last 27 Serie A away games - the longest ongoing streak without a clean sheet on the road - and Lecce may take advantage of their naivety to extend that run. However, the Crociati have been pretty impressive since returning to Italy's top tier, and this time they can retain a lead and take three points back to Emilia-Romagna. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawParma
41.2% (-0.764 -0.76) 26.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 32.45% (0.717 0.72)
Both teams to score 52.35% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.96% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)25.04% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.54 -0.54)59.71% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.48700000000001 0.49)30.17% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.581 0.58)66.32% (-0.58200000000001 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.19%
    Parma 32.45%
    Draw 26.35%
LecceDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.2% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.117 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.51% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 3% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Atalanta
Monday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Mantova
Monday, August 12 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Nice
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Udinese
Monday, September 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Palermo
Sunday, August 11 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Parma 4-1 Atalanta
Sunday, August 4 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3


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