Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Parma |
41.2% ( -0.76) | 26.35% ( 0.05) | 32.45% ( 0.72) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.74% ( 0.01) | 52.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.04% ( 0.01) | 73.96% ( -0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0.39) | 25.04% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( -0.54) | 59.71% ( 0.54) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( 0.49) | 30.17% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( 0.58) | 66.32% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.52% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.45% |
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