SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 44.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Burgos |
44.66% ( 0.06) | 29.57% ( 0.18) | 25.78% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.62) | 65.91% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.48% ( -0.43) | 84.52% ( 0.43) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.27) | 29.63% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.34) | 65.68% ( 0.34) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% ( -0.58) | 42.8% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% ( -0.49) | 79.12% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 15.42% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.8% 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.41% Total : 29.56% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.07% Total : 25.78% |
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