Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.07) 
