MX23RW : Friday, November 15 10:28:45
SM
Denmark vs. Spain: 9 hrs 16 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
LL
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
FL

Lens
0 - 0
Freiburg


Gradit (37'), Danso (42'), Said (81')
FT

Philipp (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Lens 2-1 Freiburg

With Lens coming into the game on the back of a three-game winning run, and Freiburg having lost three on the bounce, there is no doubt as to who will come into the tie with more confidence. Lens are also extremely difficult to beat at home, given the raucous atmosphere at the Bollaert-Delelis, and Freiburg have lost their last four away games, but the tie will most probably still hang in the balance ahead of next week's second leg, despite a home win looking likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawFreiburg
53.89% (-0.166 -0.17) 22.81% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 23.3% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (0.039000000000001 0.04)42.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.32% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)15.88% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)45.1% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (0.14399999999999 0.14)32.19% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (0.163 0.16)68.68% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lens 53.89%
    Freiburg 23.3%
    Draw 22.8%
LensDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 53.89%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 23.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lens
Sunday, January 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-2 PSG
Sunday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco (5-6 pen.)
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Lens
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .