SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Comoros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lesotho | Draw | Comoros |
38.73% ( 1.61) | 26.76% ( -1.3) | 34.51% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( 3.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.48% ( 5.01) | 53.52% ( -5.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.97% ( 4.07) | 75.03% ( -4.07) |
| Lesotho Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% ( 3.36) | 26.94% ( -3.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.73% ( 4.2) | 62.27% ( -4.2) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( 2.31) | 29.46% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( 2.74) | 65.46% ( -2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lesotho | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -1.09) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.47)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.43)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.73% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -1.69)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.59)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -1.33) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.35)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.51% |
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