SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Crusaders win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
59.39% ( 0.05) | 20.5% | 20.11% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.07) | 36.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.61% ( -0.08) | 58.39% ( 0.08) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.03% ( -0.01) | 11.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.63% ( -0.02) | 37.37% ( 0.02) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -0.09) | 31.32% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( -0.11) | 67.68% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.42% Total : 59.39% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.11% |
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