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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 26
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
1 - 0
Crusaders

Archer (27')
Hall (55'), Fallon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (25')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Linfield and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Loughgall 1-2 Linfield
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 20.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Crusaders win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
59.39% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 20.5%20.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.46% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.73% (-0.073 -0.07)36.27% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)58.39% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)37.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)31.32% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (-0.108 -0.11)67.68% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Linfield 59.39%
    Crusaders 20.11%
    Draw 20.5%
LinfieldDrawCrusaders
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 59.39%
1-1 @ 9.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.5%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 20.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Loughgall 1-2 Linfield
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-1 Linfield
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Glentoran
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-1 Coleraine
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-2 Linfield
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-2 Larne
Friday, January 12 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-1 Linfield
Tuesday, January 2 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 2-0 Carrick
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-1 Crusaders
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-3 Crusaders
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 0-3 Larne
Friday, December 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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