SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
28.09% ( 0.31) | 27.68% ( 0.07) | 44.22% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.12% ( -0.11) | 58.88% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( -0.09) | 79.38% ( 0.09) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% ( 0.19) | 36.83% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.38% ( 0.19) | 73.62% ( -0.19) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.51% ( -0.25) | 26.49% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.32% ( -0.33) | 61.67% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 44.22% |
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