SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
51.59% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% ( -0.1) | 56.16% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% ( -0.08) | 77.22% ( 0.08) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( -0.04) | 21.83% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( -0.06) | 55.06% ( 0.06) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.72% ( -0.09) | 40.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.09% ( -0.08) | 76.9% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.53% |
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