SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 47.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
47.25% ( -0.12) | 28.37% ( 0.03) | 24.38% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.06% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.03) | 63.09% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.47% ( -0.02) | 82.53% ( 0.03) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( -0.08) | 26.9% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.77% ( -0.1) | 62.23% ( 0.11) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.54% ( 0.07) | 42.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.17% ( 0.06) | 78.83% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 47.25% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.36% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.1% Total : 24.38% |
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