SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
62.4% ( -0.86) | 21.12% ( 0.15) | 16.48% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( 0.68) | 45.15% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.51% ( 0.65) | 67.49% ( -0.65) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.12% ( -0.05) | 13.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.7% ( -0.09) | 41.29% ( 0.09) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.41% ( 1.33) | 40.58% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.82% ( 1.18) | 77.18% ( -1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.12% | 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.88% Total : 16.48% |
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