SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
42.29% ( 0.18) | 23.83% ( -0) | 33.88% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.01) | 40.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.01) | 62.96% ( 0.01) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.07) | 19.47% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.67% ( 0.12) | 51.33% ( -0.12) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -0.1) | 23.64% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( -0.14) | 57.73% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.29% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 33.88% |
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