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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
S

Luton
1 - 2
Sunderland

Adebayo (63')
Holmes (90+8'), O'Nien (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rigg (55'), Mundle (66')
Rigg (29'), Patterson (74'), Bellingham (90+8'), Morris (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Sunderland

Following their thumping of Watford on the weekend, Luton should be confident of recording a positive result under the lights at Kenilworth Road once again, despite the league leaders being in town. Sunderland cruised to victory over Hull last time out, although we believe that the Hatters will be more of a nuisance, leading to a share of the spoils in Bedfordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
35.39% (1.879 1.88) 25.83% (0.604 0.6) 38.77% (-2.49 -2.49)
Both teams to score 54.7% (-1.681 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.46% (-2.336 -2.34)49.53% (2.329 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.43% (-2.135 -2.14)71.56% (2.129 2.13)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.012999999999991 0.01)26.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.019999999999996 0.02)62.33% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-2.322 -2.32)25.07% (2.315 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-3.316 -3.32)59.76% (3.309 3.31)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 35.39%
    Sunderland 38.77%
    Draw 25.83%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.817 0.82)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.233 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.538 0.54)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.54% (0.236 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.621 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.334 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.439 -0.44)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.336 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.257 -0.26)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 38.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Luton
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Luton
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Leeds
Friday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Sunderland
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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