SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
43.07% ( 0.01) | 23.65% ( -0) | 33.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.95% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( 0.01) | 39.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( 0.01) | 62.26% ( -0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.14% ( 0.01) | 18.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.69% ( 0.01) | 50.31% ( -0.02) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0) | 23.65% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.24% ( -0) | 57.76% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.07% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.28% |
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