SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Fulham |
45.15% ( -0.02) | 22.33% ( 0) | 32.52% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 66.6% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.32% ( -0.01) | 33.68% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.5% ( -0.01) | 55.5% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.44% ( -0.01) | 15.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.49% ( -0.02) | 44.51% ( 0.01) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( 0) | 21.12% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.03% ( 0.01) | 53.96% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Fulham |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.72% Total : 32.52% |
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