SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
52.35% ( 0.05) | 22.04% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.04% ( -0.01) | 36.96% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.86% ( -0.01) | 59.14% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( 0.01) | 14.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.88% ( 0.03) | 42.12% ( -0.03) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( -0.04) | 27.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.5% ( -0.05) | 62.5% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 4.43% Total : 52.35% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 25.62% |
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