SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Nice had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
48.64% ( -0.14) | 24.4% ( 0.06) | 26.96% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( -0.22) | 46.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( -0.2) | 68.94% ( 0.2) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( -0.14) | 19.25% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( -0.24) | 50.97% ( 0.23) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.06) | 31.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.44% ( -0.06) | 67.56% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 48.64% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.96% |
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