SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eswatini win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Mauritius had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eswatini win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Mauritius win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mauritius | Draw | Eswatini |
30.08% ( -0.33) | 29.24% ( -0.11) | 40.68% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 43.23% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.64% ( 0.27) | 63.36% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.28% ( 0.19) | 82.73% ( -0.19) |
| Mauritius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% ( -0.11) | 37.71% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.51% ( -0.11) | 74.49% ( 0.11) |
| Eswatini Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( 0.39) | 30.59% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( 0.47) | 66.83% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mauritius | Draw | Eswatini |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 13.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 13.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 40.67% |
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