Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
53.5% ( 0.01)	21.31% ( -0.08)	25.19% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 64.67% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.14% (

0.49)

33.86% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.29% (

0.55)

55.71% (

-0.55)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.12% (

0.16)

12.88% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.72% (

0.34)

39.27% (

-0.34)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

0.32)

25.77% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.29% (

0.43)

60.71% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 53.5%

Western United 25.19%

Draw 21.31%

Melbourne City	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.5%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.19%