SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
40.36% ( 0.06) | 26.41% ( -0.02) | 33.22% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% ( 0.07) | 52.31% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% ( 0.06) | 74.01% ( -0.06) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0.07) | 25.49% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.66% ( 0.09) | 60.34% ( -0.08) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.32% ( 0) | 29.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.27% ( 0.01) | 65.73% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.36% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.22% |
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