SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.46% ( 0.04) | 27.79% ( -0.03) | 30.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.41% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.08) | 58.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.06) | 78.9% ( -0.07) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.06) | 27.67% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( 0.08) | 63.22% ( -0.08) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 0.03) | 34.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( 0.04) | 71.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.45% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 30.74% |
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