SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
40.03% ( 0.01) | 26.12% ( 0) | 33.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.05% ( -0.02) | 50.95% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.17% ( -0.01) | 72.82% ( 0.02) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% | 25.06% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% | 59.73% ( 0) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( -0.02) | 28.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.59% ( -0.02) | 64.41% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.03% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.86% |
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