Looking at recent meetings between Moreirense and Famalicao, we anticipate an end-to-end affair with plenty of goalmouth action. Both sides have enjoyed a strong start to the campaign and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts in a high-scoring stalemate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.13) 
0.03) 
